Algeciras 2-2 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.4
2-3 Goals
35%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
23.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.4 — our 38% vs market 33.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
23%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.22/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/0.79
-5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +51%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Cartagena
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
17.10.2025 Cartagena Cartagena 2-0 HT 1-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
23.02.2020 Algeciras Algeciras 1-1 HT 1-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS3
06.10.2019 Cartagena Cartagena 2-0 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
04.05.2014 Algeciras Algeciras 0-1 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS3
14.12.2013 Cartagena Cartagena 2-2 HT 1-2 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
2-2
AWAY Cartagena
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras and Cartagena shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Algeciras had 55% of the ball to Cartagena's 45%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cartagena led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Algeciras and 1.60 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Cartagena?

Algeciras 2-2 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 38%, draw 33%, Cartagena 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Algeciras) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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