Hamburger SV (K) 0-1 Union Berlin (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.4pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburger SV (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.01/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/1.63
-21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
15.5 Crosses 27.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburger SV (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Union Berlin (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
237 Passes 305
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 3
21.11.2025 Union Berlin (K) Union Berlin (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Hamburger SV (K) Hamburger SV (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburger SV (K)
0-1
AWAY Union Berlin (K)
1.51 xG 0.70
37% Ball Possession 63%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
170 Passes 359
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hamburger SV (K) vs Union Berlin (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Berlin (K) edged past Hamburger SV (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Berlin (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hamburger SV (K) had 37% of the ball to Union Berlin (K)'s 63%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.51 to 0.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hamburger SV (K).

What was the final score of Hamburger SV (K) vs Union Berlin (K)?

Hamburger SV (K) 0-1 Union Berlin (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburger SV (K) vs Union Berlin (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Berlin (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hamburger SV (K) 27%, draw 26%, Union Berlin (K) 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Berlin (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Berlin (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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