KAMAZ 2-0 Spartak Kostroma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
13%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.6pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.05/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.45
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
218 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KAMAZ
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Spartak Kostroma
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
11.10.2025 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma 1-1 HT 1-1 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
25.09.2025 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma RKBL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KAMAZ
2-0
AWAY Spartak Kostroma
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAMAZ got the better of Spartak Kostroma 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day KAMAZ made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, KAMAZ had 43% of the ball to Spartak Kostroma's 57%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for KAMAZ and 0.50 for Spartak Kostroma.

What was the final score of KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma?

KAMAZ 2-0 Spartak Kostroma in the Russia - FNL on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs Spartak Kostroma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 33%, draw 32%, Spartak Kostroma 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Kostroma), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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