SK Poltava 3-3 Kryvbas KR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
18%
+11.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
49%
Away Win
61%
-12.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SK Poltava EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 66%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.79/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.38
-19% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +143%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SK Poltava
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kryvbas KR
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 2-2 HT 1-2 SK Poltava SK Poltava UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SK Poltava
3-3
AWAY Kryvbas KR
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SK Poltava vs Kryvbas KR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SK Poltava and Kryvbas KR shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kryvbas KR at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SK Poltava had 45% of the ball to Kryvbas KR's 55%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of SK Poltava vs Kryvbas KR?

SK Poltava 3-3 Kryvbas KR in the Ukraine - Premier League on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SK Poltava vs Kryvbas KR?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split SK Poltava 30%, draw 22%, Kryvbas KR 49%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kryvbas KR) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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