AFC Malmö 2-2 BK Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.3pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY BK Olympic EU Bookmakers 24%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -2%
1.26/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.51
-36% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
0W-0D-1L
AWAY BK Olympic
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
17.05.2023 AFC Malmö 3-4 HT 2-1 BK Olympic BK Olympic İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Malmö
2-2
AWAY BK Olympic
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs BK Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö and BK Olympic couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AFC Malmö at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AFC Malmö had 56% of the ball to BK Olympic's 44%, shots finished 12-16.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs BK Olympic?

AFC Malmö 2-2 BK Olympic in the Sweden - 1st Division on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs BK Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 55%, draw 21%, BK Olympic 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Malmö) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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