Al Sharjah 3-2 Al Wahda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 28% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 34%
-15% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +26%
1.14/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.32
-23% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
15.9 Crosses 17.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sharjah
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Wahda
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 0.79
46% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2024 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
31.03.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
30.10.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
21.10.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAECK
06.05.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
03.11.2021 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sharjah
3-2
AWAY Al Wahda
2.81 xG 1.65
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
167 Passes 416
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Sharjah vs Al Wahda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sharjah nicked a narrow win over Al Wahda 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Al Sharjah found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Sharjah had 32% of the ball to Al Wahda's 68%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.81 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Sharjah and 1.00 for Al Wahda.

What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Al Wahda?

Al Sharjah 3-2 Al Wahda in the UAE - League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Al Wahda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 37%, draw 26%, Al Wahda 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sharjah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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