01/06/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-0
Orsha vs BATE II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
30%
Draw
28%
35%
Away Win
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orsha v BATE II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Orsha
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
BATE II
EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% /
-8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-14%
/
-15%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
324 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
288 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.7
Yellow Cards
–
Orsha 1-1 BATE II — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Orsha
1-1
AWAY
BATE II
44%
Ball Possession
56%
6
Total Shots
12
1
Shots on Target
3
2
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
0
POST-MATCH
Orsha vs BATE II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Orsha and BATE II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.
On the day, Orsha had 44% of the ball to BATE II's 56%, shots finished 6-12.
What was the final score of Orsha vs BATE II?
Orsha 1-1 BATE II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orsha vs BATE II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orsha win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Orsha 35%, draw 30%, BATE II 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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