Naftan Novopolotsk 2-1 Isloch Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.92
6+ Goals
11%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 51%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +25%
1.37/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.70
+25% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
208 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Isloch Minsk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 5-1 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
27.05.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
2-1
AWAY Isloch Minsk
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naftan Novopolotsk vs Isloch Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naftan Novopolotsk nicked a narrow win over Isloch Minsk 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Isloch Minsk at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Naftan Novopolotsk had 41% of the ball to Isloch Minsk's 59%, shots finished 8-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Isloch Minsk led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Naftan Novopolotsk and 3.00 for Isloch Minsk.

What was the final score of Naftan Novopolotsk vs Isloch Minsk?

Naftan Novopolotsk 2-1 Isloch Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naftan Novopolotsk vs Isloch Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Isloch Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 27%, draw 28%, Isloch Minsk 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Isloch Minsk) ✗ Under 2.5
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