Gremio 0-2 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 1 Jun 2024

Gremio
0-2 HT 0-1
Bragantino
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Gremio vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
30%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
20.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 36% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.69
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
18%
6.32
X/2
8%
4.97
X/X
16%
3.96
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.33
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+8.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
40%
-9.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.6pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gremio v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
0.75/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.28
+20% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +48%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
12.3 Crosses 22.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Gremio vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bragantino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.55 xG 1.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
347 Passes 394
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Bragantino 2-0 HT 2-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
08.05.2023 Gremio Gremio 3-3 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
17.11.2021 Gremio Gremio 3-0 HT 3-0 Bragantino BR1
01.08.2021 Bragantino 1-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
26.02.2021 Bragantino 1-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
03.11.2020 Gremio Gremio 2-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1

Gremio 0-2 Bragantino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio
0-2
AWAY Bragantino
0.82 xG 1.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
279 Passes 415
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gremio vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino beat Gremio 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Bragantino made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Gremio had 44% of the ball to Bragantino's 56%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.82 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gremio and 1.33 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Gremio vs Bragantino?

Gremio 0-2 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gremio vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gremio 39%, draw 31%, Bragantino 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gremio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gremio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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