Meksika vs Bolivya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Meksika v Bolivya — Team-Based Signals
Meksika vs Bolivya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Meksika 1-0 Bolivya — Actual Match Statistics
Meksika came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Bolivya 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Meksika as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Meksika had 42% of the ball to Bolivya's 58%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.91 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Meksika's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Meksika had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Meksika and 0.00 for Bolivya.
Meksika vs Bolivya Result & Final Score
Meksika 1 - 0 Bolivya in the Friendlies on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Meksika vs Bolivya Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Meksika 65%, draw 22%, Bolivya 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.