Meksika vs Bolivya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Meksika v Bolivya — Team-Based Signals
Meksika vs Bolivya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Bolivya
AKU
0-1
HT 0-1
Meksika
HAZ
Meksika 1-0 Bolivya — Actual Match Statistics
Meksika nicked a narrow win over Bolivya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Meksika as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Meksika had 42% of the ball to Bolivya's 58%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.91 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Meksika's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Meksika had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Meksika and 0.00 for Bolivya.
What was the final score of Meksika vs Bolivya?
Meksika 1-0 Bolivya in the Friendlies on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Meksika vs Bolivya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Meksika 49%, draw 31%, Bolivya 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.