HNK Cibalia 1-5 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 48%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.01
-100% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / -89%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vukovar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2023 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 0-1 HT 0-0 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
1-5
AWAY Vukovar
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar cruised past HNK Cibalia 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vukovar as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 46% of the ball to Vukovar's 54%, shots finished 21-16.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Vukovar?

HNK Cibalia 1-5 Vukovar in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 31%, draw 25%, Vukovar 44%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ BTTS Yes
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