Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 Imabari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Imabari EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.25/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.30
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Imabari
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 0-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
11.06.2023 Imabari Imabari 0-2 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
23.10.2022 Imabari Imabari 1-2 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
29.05.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 2-1 Imabari Imabari JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
1-2
AWAY Imabari
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Imabari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Imabari nicked a narrow win over Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Imabari as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 62% of the ball to Imabari's 38%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 0.75 for Imabari.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Imabari?

Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 Imabari in the Japan - J3 League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Imabari?

Before kick-off our model rated an Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 30%, draw 29%, Imabari 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Imabari) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Imabari) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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