Minija 3-2 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 1 Jun 2024

Minija
3-2 HT 2-0
Hegelmann II
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Minija vs Hegelmann II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Minija v Hegelmann II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.36/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/2.02
-7% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Minija vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija nicked a narrow win over Hegelmann II 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Minija vs Hegelmann II?

Minija 3-2 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Minija 43%, draw 23%, Hegelmann II 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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