Doma United 1-0 Lobi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.3pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.7pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doma United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 27%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.91
+57% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doma United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lobi Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 8
17.12.2023 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 2-1 HT 1-0 Doma United Doma United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doma United
1-0
AWAY Lobi Stars
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Doma United vs Lobi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doma United nicked a narrow win over Lobi Stars 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Doma United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Doma United had 51% of the ball to Lobi Stars's 49%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Doma United vs Lobi Stars?

Doma United 1-0 Lobi Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doma United vs Lobi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doma United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Doma United 41%, draw 33%, Lobi Stars 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doma United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Doma United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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