Arendal 1-2 Notodden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 1 Jun 2024

Arendal
1-2 HT 0-2
Notodden
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Norway - 2nd Division – 2024

Arendal vs Notodden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.31
2-3 Goals
46%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
6.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.1pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arendal v Notodden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arendal EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Notodden EU Bookmakers 21%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
2.22/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.37
+0% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Arendal vs Notodden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arendal
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Notodden
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Notodden Notodden 3-0 HT 2-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
11.06.2023 Arendal Arendal 0-3 HT 0-2 Notodden Notodden NOR3
09.07.2022 Arendal Arendal 2-0 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
14.05.2022 Notodden Notodden 2-0 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
09.10.2021 Arendal Arendal 2-1 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
11.07.2021 Notodden Notodden 1-2 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
POST-MATCH Arendal vs Notodden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notodden edged past Arendal 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Arendal at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arendal and 1.67 for Notodden.

What was the final score of Arendal vs Notodden?

Arendal 1-2 Notodden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arendal vs Notodden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Arendal 56%, draw 19%, Notodden 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arendal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arendal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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