Nardo 4-1 Trygg/Lade — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.74
Over 2.5
65%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
33%
+2.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
67%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.5pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nardo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 30%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
3.56/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.51
+64% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nardo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Trygg/Lade
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.10.2022 Nardo Nardo 5-1 HT 0-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
29.05.2022 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 2-1 HT 0-1 Nardo Nardo NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nardo
4-1
AWAY Trygg/Lade
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nardo vs Trygg/Lade
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nardo ran out comfortable winners over Trygg/Lade 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nardo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Nardo had 54% of the ball to Trygg/Lade's 46%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Nardo and 1.50 for Trygg/Lade.

What was the final score of Nardo vs Trygg/Lade?

Nardo 4-1 Trygg/Lade in the Norway - 3rd Division on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nardo vs Trygg/Lade?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nardo 49%, draw 24%, Trygg/Lade 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nardo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nardo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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