Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 Rampla Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.20/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.65
-7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Rampla Juniors
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.10.2019 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 1-1 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
18.08.2019 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 4-3 HT 1-3 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2-1
AWAY Rampla Juniors
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Rampla Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Rampla Juniors 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Montevideo Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 52% of the ball to Rampla Juniors's 48%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 2.00 for Rampla Juniors.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Rampla Juniors?

Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 Rampla Juniors in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Rampla Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 41%, draw 26%, Rampla Juniors 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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