Cheonan City 3-3 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
6.35
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
50%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
47%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.31
6+ Goals
7%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 26% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
13%
+12.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
50%
Away Win
67%
-17.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 71%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.90/2.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-6% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.1 Crosses 14.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Incheon United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
310 Passes 346
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
19.04.2025 Incheon United Incheon United 3-0 HT 2-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
3-3
AWAY Incheon United
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
232 Passes 368
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheonan City and Incheon United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Incheon United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cheonan City had 43% of the ball to Incheon United's 57%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Incheon United?

Cheonan City 3-3 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 25%, draw 25%, Incheon United 50%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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