Shabab Baalbeck 0-1 Bourj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 1 Jun 2025

Shabab Baalbeck
0-1 HT 0-0
Bourj
📅01/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2024/2025

Shabab Baalbeck vs Bourj Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
59%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.8
Over 2.5
58%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
43%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
26%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
59%
Away Win
49%
+10.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
52%
-9.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
48%
+9.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shabab Baalbeck v Bourj — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Baalbeck EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourj EU Bookmakers 52%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-45% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
213 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Shabab Baalbeck vs Bourj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourj nicked a narrow win over Shabab Baalbeck 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bourj as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shabab Baalbeck vs Bourj?

Shabab Baalbeck 0-1 Bourj in the Lebanon - Premier League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Baalbeck vs Bourj?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bourj win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Shabab Baalbeck 16%, draw 25%, Bourj 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bourj) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bourj) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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