Lilleström II 0-4 Lorenskog — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.95
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
63%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
4.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
9.68
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
47%
2.54
4-5 Goals
23%
2.26
6+ Goals
12%
3.21
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.54 — our 47% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.5pp
16%
Draw
15%
+1.5pp
63%
Away Win
76%
-13.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
22%
+18.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
78%
-18.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorenskog EU Bookmakers 80%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +0%
1.14/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/0.86
-3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +45%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lorenskog
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.10.2022 Lilleström II Lilleström II 3-2 HT 3-0 Lorenskog Lorenskog NOR4
22.05.2022 Lorenskog Lorenskog 2-1 HT 1-0 Lilleström II Lilleström II NOR4
27.09.2021 Lilleström II Lilleström II 2-2 HT 2-1 Lorenskog Lorenskog NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström II
0-4
AWAY Lorenskog
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lilleström II vs Lorenskog
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorenskog ran out comfortable winners over Lilleström II 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lorenskog as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Lilleström II had 44% of the ball to Lorenskog's 56%, shots finished 5-20.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lilleström II and 2.00 for Lorenskog.

What was the final score of Lilleström II vs Lorenskog?

Lilleström II 0-4 Lorenskog in the Norway - 3rd Division on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström II vs Lorenskog?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorenskog win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Lilleström II 21%, draw 16%, Lorenskog 63%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorenskog), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lorenskog) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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