Guarani FC 1-1 Ponte Preta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 1 Jul 2024

Guarani FC
1-1 HT 1-0
Ponte Preta
📅01/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Guarani FC vs Ponte Preta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
5.74
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.8pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guarani FC v Ponte Preta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.27/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.25
+3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
22.3 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Guarani FC vs Ponte Preta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guarani FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ponte Preta
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.14 xG 0.61
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
246 Passes 235
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Guarani FC Guarani FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
22.05.2023 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-1 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
20.08.2022 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-0 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
08.05.2022 Guarani FC Guarani FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
20.02.2022 Guarani FC Guarani FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BREPAU
18.09.2021 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-0 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2

Guarani FC 1-1 Ponte Preta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guarani FC
1-1
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.60 xG 0.55
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
228 Passes 334
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Guarani FC vs Ponte Preta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guarani FC and Ponte Preta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Guarani FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Guarani FC had 42% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 58%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.60 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guarani FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guarani FC and 0.33 for Ponte Preta.

What was the final score of Guarani FC vs Ponte Preta?

Guarani FC 1-1 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guarani FC vs Ponte Preta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guarani FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Guarani FC 48%, draw 29%, Ponte Preta 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guarani FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guarani FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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