Namibya 2-1 Lesotho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Cosfa Cup, 1 Jul 2024

📅01/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
40%
2.66
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.22
Over 2.5
27%
3.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.75
No
59%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.5pp
40%
Draw
34%
+6.3pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.8pp
73%
Under 2.5
78%
-4.8pp
27%
Over 2.5
22%
+4.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
32%
+8.6pp
59%
BTTS No
68%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Namibya EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lesotho EU Bookmakers 30%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.73
+14% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -62%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Namibya
2-1
AWAY Lesotho
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Namibya vs Lesotho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Namibya squeezed past Lesotho 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 40% / 24%) promised a tight game; Namibya found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Namibya had 58% of the ball to Lesotho's 42%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Namibya vs Lesotho?

Namibya 2-1 Lesotho in the CAF Cosfa Cup on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Namibya vs Lesotho?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Namibya 36%, draw 40%, Lesotho 24%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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