FK Turan 2-1 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 1 Jul 2024

📅01/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.2pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.6pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Turan EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atyrau EU Bookmakers 46%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
0.95/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.15
-12% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Turan
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Atyrau
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.09.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
27.04.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 0-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
11.09.2021 Atyrau Atyrau 2-2 HT 1-1 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
28.04.2021 FK Turan FK Turan 1-2 HT 1-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
POST-MATCH FK Turan vs Atyrau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Turan nicked a narrow win over Atyrau 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atyrau at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for FK Turan and 1.00 for Atyrau.

What was the final score of FK Turan vs Atyrau?

FK Turan 2-1 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Turan vs Atyrau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atyrau win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FK Turan 35%, draw 22%, Atyrau 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atyrau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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