01/07/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Hodd vs Viking Stavanger II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
22%
Draw
22%
23%
Away Win
26%
35%
Under 2.5
30%
65%
Over 2.5
70%
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
39%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hodd v Viking Stavanger II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hodd
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Viking Stavanger II
EU Bookmakers 29%
+21% /
+19%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+18% /
+18%
1.73/0.56
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.39/1.01
-19%
/
+122%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+10%
/
+83%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
345 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
396 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.6
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Hodd vs Viking Stavanger II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hodd edged past Viking Stavanger II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hodd as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Hodd vs Viking Stavanger II?
Hodd 2-1 Viking Stavanger II in the Norway - 2nd Division on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hodd vs Viking Stavanger II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hodd win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hodd 55%, draw 22%, Viking Stavanger II 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hodd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Hodd)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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