Maritimo Ven 2-2 Aragua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 1 Jul 2024

📅01/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
16%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.5pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo Ven EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Aragua EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritimo Ven
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Aragua
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2024 Aragua Aragua 0-0 Maritimo Ven Maritimo Ven VENK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo Ven
2-2
AWAY Aragua
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Maritimo Ven vs Aragua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo Ven and Aragua shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Maritimo Ven at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Maritimo Ven had 50% of the ball to Aragua's 50%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Maritimo Ven vs Aragua?

Maritimo Ven 2-2 Aragua in the VENK on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo Ven vs Aragua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo Ven win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Maritimo Ven 52%, draw 25%, Aragua 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maritimo Ven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo Ven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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