Glentoran FC 0-4 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Jul 2026

📅01/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
9.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 36% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.0pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/1.10
-34% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -86% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
04.07.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Glentoran FC
0-4
AWAY Kilmarnock
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock cruised past Glentoran FC 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Glentoran FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Glentoran FC had 55% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 45%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Kilmarnock?

Glentoran FC 0-4 Kilmarnock in the Friendlies on 01/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 42%, draw 25%, Kilmarnock 33%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Glentoran FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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