UMF Tindastoll 2-1 Vikingur Olafsvik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
16%
3.72
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.1pp
16%
Draw
23%
-7.6pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.3pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur Olafsvik EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +62%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UMF Tindastoll
2-1
AWAY Vikingur Olafsvik
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UMF Tindastoll vs Vikingur Olafsvik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Tindastoll nicked a narrow win over Vikingur Olafsvik 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UMF Tindastoll as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, UMF Tindastoll had 45% of the ball to Vikingur Olafsvik's 55%, shots finished 7-6.

What was the final score of UMF Tindastoll vs Vikingur Olafsvik?

UMF Tindastoll 2-1 Vikingur Olafsvik in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Tindastoll vs Vikingur Olafsvik?

Before kick-off our model rated a UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UMF Tindastoll 45%, draw 16%, Vikingur Olafsvik 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UMF Tindastoll), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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