Dnepr Rogachev 1-0 BATE II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.5pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE II EU Bookmakers 34%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
3.54/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+149% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Rogachev
1-0
AWAY BATE II
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dnepr Rogachev vs BATE II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Rogachev squeezed past BATE II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Dnepr Rogachev found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dnepr Rogachev had 65% of the ball to BATE II's 35%, shots finished 15-2.

What was the final score of Dnepr Rogachev vs BATE II?

Dnepr Rogachev 1-0 BATE II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Rogachev vs BATE II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Rogachev 40%, draw 22%, BATE II 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR1 More Belarus - 1st Division
1 Aug 2024
17:00 Niva Dolbizno vs Lokomotiv Gomel Analysis →
17:00 Belshina vs Orsha Analysis →
18:00 FC Volna Pinsk vs Dinamo Minsk II Analysis →