Naestved 1-0 Roskilde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.7
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.01
6+ Goals
16%
9.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naestved EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Roskilde EU Bookmakers 48%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.13/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.41
-15% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -9%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naestved
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Roskilde
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2021 Naestved Naestved 2-3 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
29.09.2020 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
16.07.2020 Naestved Naestved 0-2 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
27.10.2019 Roskilde Roskilde 4-0 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
08.09.2019 Naestved Naestved 1-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
01.11.2015 Naestved Naestved 2-1 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naestved
1-0
AWAY Roskilde
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Naestved vs Roskilde
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Naestved edged past Roskilde 1-0 in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 1 Aug 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, Naestved had 57% of the ball to Roskilde's 43%, shots finished 14-3.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Naestved and 1.67 for Roskilde.

What was the final score of Naestved vs Roskilde?

Naestved 1-0 Roskilde in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naestved vs Roskilde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Naestved 31%, draw 23%, Roskilde 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roskilde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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