Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 1 Aug 2025

Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-0 HT 1-0
Vukovar
📅01/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2025/2026

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Vukovar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotiva Zagreb v Vukovar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.6 Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Vukovar Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vukovar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
29.11.2023 Vukovar Vukovar 1-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIRK

Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 Vukovar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-0
AWAY Vukovar
1.08 xG 0.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
322 Passes 266
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb nicked a narrow win over Vukovar 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotiva Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 55% of the ball to Vukovar's 45%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.08 to 0.39.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Vukovar?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 Vukovar in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 41%, draw 31%, Vukovar 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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