Budapest Honved 3-3 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 1 Aug 2026

Budapest Honved
3-3 HT 2-1
MTK Budapest
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2026/2027

Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 27% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Budapest Honved v MTK Budapest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Honved EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.39/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.76
-7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
– Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Honved
2W-1D-3L
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.03.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-0 HT 0-0 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
21.11.2021 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 3-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
07.08.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-0 HT 1-0 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
02.03.2021 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 3-2 HT 1-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
06.12.2020 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 2-2 HT 2-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
21.08.2020 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-1 HT 1-1 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC

Budapest Honved 3-3 MTK Budapest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budapest Honved
3-3
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.12 xG 1.91
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
254 Passes 346
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Budapest Honved and MTK Budapest shared the points in a 3-3 draw in the Hungary - NB I on 1 Aug 2026. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.12 to 1.91.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Budapest Honved and 1.50 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest?

Budapest Honved 3-3 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budapest Honved win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Budapest Honved 41%, draw 28%, MTK Budapest 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Budapest Honved), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Budapest Honved) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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