KS Wieczysta Krakow 1-2 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 1 Aug 2026

KS Wieczysta Krakow
1-2 HT 0-2
Lech Poznan
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2026/2027

KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Lech Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.54
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.66
6+ Goals
9%
7.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.54 — our 31% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.62
1/2
5%
21.4
1/X
4%
12.55
X/1
11%
7.25
X/2 EV+ ✗
26%
5.22
X/X
10%
5.51
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
17%
2.77
2/X
8%
12.0
Value flag · X/2 at 5.22 — our 26% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.1pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KS Wieczysta Krakow v Lech Poznan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
– Crosses 17.8
– Yellow Cards 2.1

KS Wieczysta Krakow 1-2 Lech Poznan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow
1-2
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.04 xG 1.84
11 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
415 Passes 370
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Lech Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lech Poznan nicked a narrow win over KS Wieczysta Krakow 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 1.04 to 1.84.

What was the final score of KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Lech Poznan?

KS Wieczysta Krakow 1-2 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Lech Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split KS Wieczysta Krakow 29%, draw 23%, Lech Poznan 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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