01/08/2026
·
22:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
Porto vs Torreense Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.89
— our 33% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
Value flag · X/1 at 3.6
— our 31% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
78%
18%
Draw
16%
17%
Away Win
7%
34%
Under 2.5
42%
66%
Over 2.5
58%
54%
BTTS Yes
40%
46%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto v Torreense — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Porto
EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY
Torreense
EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
60%
Ball Possession
40%
17
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
447 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
255 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Porto 1-0 Torreense — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Porto
1-0
AWAY
Torreense
1.89
xG
1.15
12
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
2
405
Passes
293
34
Box Touches
18
15
Crosses
10
3
Yellow Cards
3
FAQ
Porto vs Torreense
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Porto edged past Torreense 1-0 in the Portugal - Super Cup on 1 Aug 2026.
The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 66% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.89 to 1.15.
What was the final score of Porto vs Torreense?
Porto 1-0 Torreense in the Portugal - Super Cup on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto vs Torreense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Porto 65%, draw 18%, Torreense 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Porto)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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