Essen-Schönebeck (K) 1-2 Hoffenheim (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
51%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
32%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
51%
Away Win
42%
+8.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.80/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.55
+51% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
11.0 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 2.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
251 Passes 299
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.04.2024 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
1-2
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
0.78 xG 2.71
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
237 Passes 425
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) edged past Essen-Schönebeck (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hoffenheim (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Essen-Schönebeck (K) had 39% of the ball to Hoffenheim (K)'s 61%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.78 to 2.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hoffenheim (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Essen-Schönebeck (K) 1-2 Hoffenheim (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Essen-Schönebeck (K) 25%, draw 25%, Hoffenheim (K) 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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