Voitsberg 1-2 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.99
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 28% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
3.51
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
17%
5.57
X/2
12%
5.74
X/X
12%
5.09
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
22%
3.65
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
38%
-7.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Voitsberg EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 40%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.53
-100% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
Crosses 13.8
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Voitsberg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-2 HT 0-1 Voitsberg Voitsberg AVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Voitsberg
1-2
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Voitsberg vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV nicked a narrow win over Voitsberg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kapfenberger SV as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Voitsberg had 48% of the ball to Kapfenberger SV's 52%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Voitsberg vs Kapfenberger SV?

Voitsberg 1-2 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Voitsberg vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kapfenberger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Voitsberg 31%, draw 28%, Kapfenberger SV 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →