Santa Cruz 1-1 Royal Pari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Pari EU Bookmakers 46%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.02/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.41
-21% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.6 Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Royal Pari
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.94 xG 0.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
222 Passes 241
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.08.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
05.03.2023 Royal Pari Royal Pari 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
18.09.2021 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-1 HT 1-1 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
24.12.2020 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-4 HT 1-3 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
03.03.2020 Royal Pari Royal Pari 0-2 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
1-1
AWAY Royal Pari
0.38 xG 1.21
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
237 Passes 125
71% Pass Accuracy 61%
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Royal Pari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Cruz and Royal Pari couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Royal Pari at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 60% of the ball to Royal Pari's 40%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.38 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Santa Cruz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Santa Cruz and 1.20 for Royal Pari.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Royal Pari?

Santa Cruz 1-1 Royal Pari in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Royal Pari?

Before kick-off our model rated an Royal Pari win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 29%, draw 29%, Royal Pari 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Royal Pari) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Royal Pari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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