Thisted 0-1 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 1 Sep 2024

Thisted
0-1 HT 0-1
Naestved
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Thisted vs Naestved Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
39%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 30% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
39%
Away Win
49%
-10.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thisted v Naestved — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 54%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.28/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.49
-3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.5

Thisted vs Naestved Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Naestved
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
07.11.2021 Naestved Naestved 4-3 HT 2-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
25.09.2021 Thisted Thisted 2-1 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved edged past Thisted 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Naestved made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Thisted and 2.50 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Naestved?

Thisted 0-1 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Thisted 36%, draw 25%, Naestved 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naestved), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naestved) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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