Randers FC 1-0 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
19%
4.11
X/2
7%
10.4
X/X
13%
5.87
2/1
8%
21.1
2/2
11%
7.36
2/X
6%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Randers FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
2.09/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.80
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 75%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
22.4 Crosses 16.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Randers FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Aalborg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 1.42
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
269 Passes 363
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
28.08.2022 Randers FC Randers FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
11.05.2022 Randers FC Randers FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
08.04.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
07.11.2021 Aalborg Aalborg 1-1 HT 1-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
22.08.2021 Randers FC Randers FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Randers FC
1-0
AWAY Aalborg
0.73 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 13
379 Passes 353
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
41 Box Touches 35
7 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Randers FC vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC squeezed past Aalborg 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Randers FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Randers FC had 50% of the ball to Aalborg's 50%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.73 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Randers FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Randers FC and 1.17 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Randers FC vs Aalborg?

Randers FC 1-0 Aalborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Randers FC vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Randers FC 50%, draw 24%, Aalborg 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Randers FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Randers FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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