Marquense vs Malacateco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marquense v Malacateco — Team-Based Signals
Marquense 2-2 Malacateco — Actual Match Statistics
Marquense and Malacateco couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Marquense at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Marquense had 59% of the ball to Malacateco's 41%, shots finished 13-9.
What was the final score of Marquense vs Malacateco?
Marquense 2-2 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marquense vs Malacateco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Marquense 60%, draw 21%, Malacateco 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.