Gagra vs Samgurali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gagra v Samgurali — Team-Based Signals
Gagra vs Samgurali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Gagra
GUR
2-2
HT 0-1
Gagra
GUR
0-0
HT 0-0
Samgurali
GUR
3-0
HT 0-0
Gagra
GURCK
1-0
HT 0-0
Gagra
GUR
Gagra 1-3 Samgurali — Actual Match Statistics
Samgurali got the better of Gagra 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Samgurali found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gagra had 47% of the ball to Samgurali's 53%, shots finished 19-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samgurali led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gagra and 1.33 for Samgurali.
What was the final score of Gagra vs Samgurali?
Gagra 1-3 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gagra vs Samgurali?
Before kick-off our model rated an Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gagra 34%, draw 27%, Samgurali 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samgurali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.