Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-0 Olimpia Elblag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒20:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.29
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
7%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 27% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
2.01/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.24
+7% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 3-1 HT 1-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
11.11.2023 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 2-1 HT 1-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
15.05.2022 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 4-1 HT 2-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
06.11.2021 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 1-1 HT 0-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
21.03.2021 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
19.09.2020 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 0-0 HT 0-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
2-0
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Olimpia Elblag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chojniczanka Chojnice got the better of Olimpia Elblag 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chojniczanka Chojnice as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Chojniczanka Chojnice had 55% of the ball to Olimpia Elblag's 45%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chojniczanka Chojnice had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chojniczanka Chojnice and 0.83 for Olimpia Elblag.

What was the final score of Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Olimpia Elblag?

Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-0 Olimpia Elblag in the Poland - 2nd Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Olimpia Elblag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chojniczanka Chojnice win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Chojniczanka Chojnice 58%, draw 23%, Olimpia Elblag 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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