FCSB 2-0 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

FCSB
2-0 HT 1-0
UTA Arad
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Romania - 1st Division – 2024/2025

FCSB vs UTA Arad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 24% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FCSB v UTA Arad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.08/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.21
+2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
24.0 Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

FCSB vs UTA Arad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
3W-1D-2L
AWAY UTA Arad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 Passes 287
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.01.2024 FCSB FCSB 4-0 HT 2-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
28.08.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
05.03.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 3-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
19.10.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-2 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROMK
16.10.2022 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
05.12.2021 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM

FCSB 2-0 UTA Arad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
2-0
AWAY UTA Arad
1.88 xG 1.12
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
384 Passes 224
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
36 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FCSB vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB saw off UTA Arad 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FCSB had 59% of the ball to UTA Arad's 41%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.88 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FCSB and 1.50 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of FCSB vs UTA Arad?

FCSB 2-0 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FCSB 51%, draw 24%, UTA Arad 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ Over 2.5
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