Chernomorets 2-2 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.9pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 34%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
0.86/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.11
-26% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
0W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 4-0 HT 1-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
01.11.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 3-0 HT 2-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RKBL
23.07.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chernomorets
2-2
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets and FK Rodina Moskva couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chernomorets had 51% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 49%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Chernomorets and 2.33 for FK Rodina Moskva.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Chernomorets 2-2 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 36%, draw 32%, FK Rodina Moskva 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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