Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2-1 EGS Gafsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.6
Over
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.52
2-3
43%
1.79
4-5
16%
4.79
6+
6%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.52 — our 35% vs market 33.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeunesse Sportive Omrane The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY EGS Gafsa The Market 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
0W-1D-0L
AWAY EGS Gafsa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.03.2023 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2-2 HT 1-0 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2-1
AWAY EGS Gafsa
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs EGS Gafsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane edged past EGS Gafsa 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jeunesse Sportive Omrane as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane had 55% of the ball to EGS Gafsa's 45%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs EGS Gafsa?

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2-1 EGS Gafsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs EGS Gafsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 46%, draw 27%, EGS Gafsa 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeunesse Sportive Omrane) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeunesse Sportive Omrane) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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