Basford United 0-2 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.0
Over
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
41%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.0pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basford United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.21/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.46
-20% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basford United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Guiseley
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.12.2023 Basford United Basford United 0-1 HT 0-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
19.08.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 2-1 HT 1-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basford United
0-2
AWAY Guiseley
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Basford United vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley saw off Basford United 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Guiseley found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Basford United had 56% of the ball to Guiseley's 44%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Guiseley led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Basford United and 1.50 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Basford United vs Guiseley?

Basford United 0-2 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basford United vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Basford United 37%, draw 25%, Guiseley 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guiseley) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guiseley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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