Audax Italiano 2-0 O Higgins — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.64
Over
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY O Higgins EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.18/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.23
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.8 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Italiano
2W-2D-2L
AWAY O Higgins
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
232 Passes 264
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.05.2024 O Higgins O Higgins 0-5 HT 0-2 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
03.09.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 2-1 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
04.07.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-2 HT 0-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİLİK
14.03.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-2 HT 2-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
01.08.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-1 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
07.03.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 2-2 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Italiano
2-0
AWAY O Higgins
2.59 xG 0.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
220 Passes 247
67% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Audax Italiano vs O Higgins
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano got the better of O Higgins 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Audax Italiano found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Audax Italiano had 46% of the ball to O Higgins's 54%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.59 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Audax Italiano and 1.50 for O Higgins.

What was the final score of Audax Italiano vs O Higgins?

Audax Italiano 2-0 O Higgins in the Chile - Premier League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Italiano vs O Higgins?

Before kick-off our model rated an O Higgins win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Audax Italiano 34%, draw 27%, O Higgins 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (O Higgins) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (O Higgins) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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