Sepahan 4-0 Istiqlol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.33
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.75
Over
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.53
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.89
2-3
42%
1.77
4-5
21%
4.04
6+
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
71%
-21.6pp
29%
Draw
20%
+9.2pp
22%
Away Win
9%
+12.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+12.7pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Istiqlol EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepahan
4-0
AWAY Istiqlol
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Istiqlol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan ran out comfortable winners over Istiqlol 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sepahan had 65% of the ball to Istiqlol's 35%, shots finished 22-9.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Istiqlol?

Sepahan 4-0 Istiqlol in the AFCŞL2 on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Istiqlol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 49%, draw 29%, Istiqlol 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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