Hamburger SV U19 2-4 Hansa Rostock U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
14%
7.13
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
23%
4.0
Over 2.5
77%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
10%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
80%
-16.0pp
14%
Draw
11%
+3.4pp
22%
Away Win
9%
+12.6pp
23%
Under 2.5
22%
+1.1pp
77%
Over 2.5
78%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburger SV U19 EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock U19 EU Bookmakers 12%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
4.07/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/5.68
+37% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -51%
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburger SV U19
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Hansa Rostock U19
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
28.04.2024 Hamburger SV U19 Hamburger SV U19 3-1 Hansa Rostock U19 Hansa Rostock U19 ALU19
11.11.2023 Hansa Rostock U19 Hansa Rostock U19 0-3 HT 0-2 Hamburger SV U19 Hamburger SV U19 ALU19
POST-MATCH Hamburger SV U19 vs Hansa Rostock U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hansa Rostock U19 beat Hamburger SV U19 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hamburger SV U19 at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (77%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hamburger SV U19 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Hamburger SV U19 and 0.50 for Hansa Rostock U19.

What was the final score of Hamburger SV U19 vs Hansa Rostock U19?

Hamburger SV U19 2-4 Hansa Rostock U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburger SV U19 vs Hansa Rostock U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburger SV U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Hamburger SV U19 64%, draw 14%, Hansa Rostock U19 22%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburger SV U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamburger SV U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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