St. Pölten 0-1 Admira Wacker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 1 Oct 2024

St. Pölten
0-1 HT 0-0
Admira Wacker
📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

St. Pölten vs Admira Wacker Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.46
Draw
37%
3.11
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.6
6+ Goals
7%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.65
X/1
11%
5.14
X/2
17%
5.6
X/X
18%
3.91
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
12%
4.2
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 1/X at 13.65 — our 12% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
37%
-9.2pp
37%
Draw
29%
+7.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pölten v Admira Wacker — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
3.23/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.31
-16% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
248 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 76%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
20.0 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

St. Pölten vs Admira Wacker Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Admira Wacker
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.52 xG 1.90
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 161
70% Pass Accuracy 58%
13 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
12.04.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-3 HT 0-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
22.09.2023 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 2-2 HT 1-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
21.04.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 1-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
26.08.2022 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
08.05.2021 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AVU
03.04.2021 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-1 HT 0-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AVU
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs Admira Wacker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Admira Wacker nicked a narrow win over St. Pölten 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (28% / 37% / 35%) promised a tight game; Admira Wacker found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Admira Wacker led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for St. Pölten and 1.50 for Admira Wacker.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs Admira Wacker?

St. Pölten 0-1 Admira Wacker in the Austria - 1st Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs Admira Wacker?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 28%, draw 37%, Admira Wacker 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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