Bahardar 2-0 Hadiya Hosaena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.36
Over 2.5
44%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.7pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
70%
-13.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
30%
+13.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.2pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 29%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.31/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.01
+21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahardar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.04.2024 Bahardar Bahardar 0-0 HT 0-0 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
2-0
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Hadiya Hosaena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar saw off Hadiya Hosaena 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bahardar as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bahardar had 50% of the ball to Hadiya Hosaena's 50%, shots finished 7-2.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Bahardar 2-0 Hadiya Hosaena in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 43%, draw 28%, Hadiya Hosaena 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahardar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bahardar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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